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I'm no expert, but the excerpt that leads off this thread isn't proof one way or another. All it says to me is that he had a bunch of squadron mates that were non-believers. Nothing more. The amount of information they had to work with at the time is obviously far less than what we have now. The only way to verify the claims would be to check each and every one against German losses for the days in question. I believe in the "innocent until proven guilty" approach, and as far is this case is concerned, there is 0 concrete proof he was lying. Is there speculation? Sure. Am I ready to condemn him? Not yet.
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